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1. 新疆大学电气工程学院,乌鲁木齐,830017
2. 国网新疆电力有限公司电力科学研究院,乌鲁木齐,830011
3. 可再生能源发电与并网控制教育部工程研究中心(新疆大学),乌鲁木齐,830017
4. 国网新疆电力有限公司奎屯供电公司, 奎屯,833200
5. 国网新疆电力有限公司喀什供电公司,喀什,844000
收稿:2026-08-31,
纸质出版:2026
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邹德磊, 董新胜, 何山, 等. 基于LSTM-Transformer-BiLSTM的串并行覆冰预测方法[J]. 高电压技术, 2026,52(8):3814-3823.
ZOU Delei, DONG Xinsheng, HE Shan, et al. 基于LSTM-Transformer-BiLSTM的串并行覆冰预测方法[J]. 2026, 52(8): 3814-3823.
邹德磊, 董新胜, 何山, 等. 基于LSTM-Transformer-BiLSTM的串并行覆冰预测方法[J]. 高电压技术, 2026,52(8):3814-3823. DOI: 10.13336/j.1003-6520.hve.20251364.
ZOU Delei, DONG Xinsheng, HE Shan, et al. 基于LSTM-Transformer-BiLSTM的串并行覆冰预测方法[J]. 2026, 52(8): 3814-3823. DOI: 10.13336/j.1003-6520.hve.20251364.
为了提升输电线路覆冰预测精度,提出一种结合数据处理与深度学习的覆冰预测方法。数据处理阶段,采用孤立森林算法剔除输入数据中的异常值,并利用最大信息系数(maximal information coefficient
MIC)和变分模态分解(variational mode decomposition
VMD)筛选与分解关键特征,构建高质量数据集;模型主体采用长短期记忆网络(long short-term memory
LSTM)-Transformer-双向长短期记忆网络(bidirectional long short-term memory
BiLSTM)的串并行模型。串行部分依次使用LSTM提取数据关系,Transformer捕捉全局依赖,BiLSTM强化双向时序建模。并行部分引入BiLSTM网络,以补偿串行处理中可能丢失的信息。研究表明,在地势抬升型、高山分水岭型和垭口型的微地形下,所提模型预测的均方根误差分别为0.09、0.07、0.13 mm,性能优于对比模型,满足实际工程的需求,能够较为精准地预测覆冰生长,对于保障输电线路安全运行有重要意义。
To improve the accuracy of transmission line icing prediction
this paper proposes an icing prediction method that integrates data processing and deep learning. In the data processing stage
the Isolation Forest algorithm is used to remove outliers from the input data
and the maximal information coefficient (MIC) and variational mode decomposition (VMD) are employed to screen and decompose key features
and to construct a high-quality dataset. The core model adopts a serial-parallel architecture combining long short-term memory (LSTM)
Transformer
and bidirectional long short-term memory (BiLSTM). In the serial part
LSTM is first applied to extract data relationships
Transformer is then used to capture global dependencies
and finally BiLSTM enhances bidirectional temporal modeling. In the parallel part
an additional BiLSTM network is introduced to compensate for potential information loss during serial processing. The study shows that
under micro-terrain conditions such as uplifted terrain
high mountain watersheds
and saddle terrain
the proposed model achieves root mean square errors of 0.09 mm
0.07 mm
and 0.13 mm
respectively. Its performance surpasses that of comparative models
meets the requirements of practical engineering applications
and enables accurate prediction of ice accretion growth
which is of significant importance for ensuring the safe operation of transmission lines.
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